Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.055618 0.065160 0.075805 0.088554 0.103406 0.120161 0.140495
2025-08-31 0.040143 0.052338 0.067410 0.087387 0.113158 0.145280 0.188364
2025-09-07 0.032289 0.045688 0.063596 0.089238 0.124983 0.173029 0.242530
2025-09-14 0.026245 0.039736 0.058968 0.088315 0.131914 0.194257 0.290190
2025-09-21 0.021559 0.034620 0.054311 0.086061 0.135901 0.211075 0.333083
2025-09-28 0.017923 0.030340 0.050025 0.083372 0.138356 0.225332 0.373351
2025-10-05 0.016002 0.028414 0.049005 0.085475 0.148335 0.252121 0.436442
2025-10-12 0.014185 0.026333 0.047353 0.086154 0.155836 0.275537 0.496668
2025-10-19 0.012619 0.024422 0.045670 0.086440 0.162522 0.298141 0.558059
2025-10-26 0.011443 0.023032 0.044684 0.087770 0.171121 0.324935 0.630043
2025-11-02 0.010599 0.022141 0.044474 0.090465 0.182508 0.357991 0.717529
2025-11-09 0.009225 0.019982 0.041519 0.087384 0.182259 0.368970 0.763735
2025-11-16 0.008288 0.018609 0.039985 0.087038 0.187603 0.391799 0.837132
2025-11-23 0.007388 0.017181 0.038148 0.085818 0.191001 0.411187 0.906118
2025-11-30 0.006855 0.016482 0.037754 0.087624 0.201034 0.445402 1.010611
2025-12-07 0.006176 0.015345 0.036238 0.086715 0.204946 0.466991 1.090234
2025-12-14 0.005492 0.014089 0.034276 0.084500 0.205577 0.481396 1.155452
2025-12-21 0.004866 0.012879 0.032256 0.081859 0.204834 0.492556 1.214480
2025-12-28 0.004586 0.012502 0.032179 0.083924 0.215634 0.531617 1.344324
2026-01-04 0.004256 0.011943 0.031577 0.084591 0.223063 0.563532 1.460709
2026-01-11 0.003939 0.011371 0.030864 0.084872 0.229541 0.593876 1.576900
2026-01-18 0.003699 0.010975 0.030556 0.086178 0.238848 0.632334 1.718503
2026-01-25 0.003535 0.010771 0.030734 0.088825 0.252065 0.682282 1.896233